Based Underground is now a conservative news aggregator AND curated newsletter.
(DCNF)—Journalist Mark Halperin said on Monday that the turnout of women would decide the presidential election between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris.
Trump leads Harris by 0.1% in a head-to-head matchup, according to the RealClearPolling average of polls from Oct. 11 to Nov. 3, with Trump’s lead increasing to 0.3% when Green Party candidate Dr. Jill Stein, independent candidate Cornel West and Libertarian candidate Chase Oliver are included in surveys. Halperin said that he believed the swing states would be carried by one candidate, and not split, saying the percentage of the voters that were women would be decisive.
WATCH:
“The kind of conventional wisdom amongst Democrats is – and they’re buoyed by this poll – is, she’s closing strong, Trump isn’t and that undecideds, David Plouffe argued last week, are breaking her way,” Halperin said.
“I think right now, people ask me all the time what’s going to happen, I think right now and I continue to believe, and have for a while, that it’s not going to be close,” Halperin continued. “Either the makeup of the electorate is going to be 54 or 55 percent female and she’s going to win, or it’s not and she’s going to lose. And I could be wrong, but I don’t think it’s going to be different state to state.”
Trump holds a 21-point lead among men, 57% to 36%, according to a New York Times/Siena College poll of Michigan voters released Sunday, while Harris leads Trump among women by a 17-point margin, 56% to 39%. Across all the battleground states, Trump has a 15-point lead among men, while Harris is ahead by 17% among women, according to the poll.
Trump leads in the RealClearPolling averages for five of the seven swing states, with Harris holding small leads in Wisconsin and Michigan. Trump outperformed polls in both the 2016 and 2020 elections, according to RealClearPolling.
Hillary Clinton lead Trump by 6.5% in the final average before losing Wisconsin to Trump by 0.7%, while Biden led Trump by 6.7% before eking out a 0.7% win in 2020. In Michigan, Biden led Trump by 5.1% but only won by 2.8% in 2020, while Hillary Clinton led Trump by 3.6% in 2016, only to lose the state by 0.3% when the votes were counted.
All content created by the Daily Caller News Foundation, an independent and nonpartisan newswire service, is available without charge to any legitimate news publisher that can provide a large audience. All republished articles must include our logo, our reporter’s byline and their DCNF affiliation. For any questions about our guidelines or partnering with us, please contact [email protected].
Ten Election Irregularities That Have Occurred During Early Voting So Far
by Just The News
A variety of election irregularities – at least ten of them – have occurred across the country in the weeks leading up to Election Day, as some states have reported record-breaking turnout during early voting. The issues range from burning ballot boxes to fake voter registrations, with the close presidential…
Will Gold and Silver Prices Drop if Donald Trump Wins?
by Sponsored Post
It’s well-established among economists that if Kamala Harris wins the presidential election, gold and silver will likely shoot up in value. But what if Donald Trump wins? With his chances of victory increasing, should gold and silver owners sell now because values will drop during his second term? “Considering everything…
Election Skullduggery From Around the Nation
by PJ Media
To the surprise of no one with an ounce of grey matter, the 2024 election irregularities have begun, and, as expected, Democrats are responsible for almost of the malfeasance. Roughly 57 million Americans have already voted as of this writing, and I’ve found a K2-sized pile of evidence showing the…
P. Diddy ‘Kept Meticulous Records’ of His Parties and ‘Has Enough Dirt to Hang Expose of Hollywood’
by End Times Headlines
Sean “P. Diddy” Combs has had zero support from exes, including Jennifer Lopez and Cameron Diaz, who are in a major panic that he’ll drag them down by spilling sordid secrets about them if he winds up wearing a number, a source exclusively tells In Touch. “It’s not like they’ve…
What if Harris Gets Away With It?
by The Blaze
On Nov. 5, the American experiment in republican government may well come to an end. Over the past two decades, we have been living through a slow-motion communist revolution. Acts of political warfare have become commonplace. The most devastating has been the corruption of our election system. Having vilified Donald…
Here Are 8 Major Election Developments That Everyone Needs to Know About
by Michael Snyder
(The Economic Collapse Blog)—Can you believe that we are less than a week away from Election Day? Over 57 million Americans have already voted, and in some states more than half of the total expected vote is already in. So it may already be too late for a last minute…
Democrats Plan for Color Revolution
by Zero Hedge
It feels like there’s been a notable shift amongst Democrats in the last month. A recent sense of fatalism – or perhaps just simple resignation to what appears to be an inevitable Trump win. But as it turns out, there are some Democrats who have been preparing for this potential…
This Election Will Not Prevent the Coming Chaos
by Mike Pottage
(WND)—It seems the justice system is overwhelmed by criminal cases involving illegals, and this puts Americans at risk of being short changed by that system. What is even more astounding is the fact this crisis was created by the Democrat Party and was 50 years in the making, and yet…
House Republicans Warn White House It Could Have Violated Federal Law by Editing Biden’s Transcript
by Just The News
House Republican Conference Chair Elise Stefanik and House Oversight Committee Chairman James Comer accused the White House on Wednesday of publishing a “false transcript” of President Joe Biden’s controversial remarks on Tuesday, and warned doing so could have violated federal law. The president appeared to say that supporters of former…
As Christians Go To The Polls, We Must Remember: The Future Of Our Nation Is At Stake
by Harbingers Daily
In just a few days, our nation will hold one of the most consequential elections in decades. Voters will go to the polls on Tuesday, Nov. 5, to cast their ballots for the next president of the United States, as well as for many crucial congressional, state and local offices….
‘Fertility Call Checks’ — Chinese Communists Cold-Call Women Demanding Details About Their Periods
by Breitbart
Chinese women are flooding regime-controlled social media with complaints that local Communist Party officials are making phone calls to harass them into having more children, the South China Morning Post reported on Tuesday. The callers, government “grassroots” officials, sometimes demand details of their private lives including the timing of their…
Absolutely Massive Food Bank Demand in the Swing States of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin
by Michael Snyder
(The Economic Collapse Blog)—The economy is the number one political issue in America right now, and it isn’t because the economy is doing well. The long-term economic collapse that I have been writing about for years is playing out right in front of our eyes, and it is going to have…