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(DCNF)—CNN senior data reporter Harry Enten said on Friday that former President Donald Trump will win the November election if he can slightly surpass his current poll projections.
Vice President Kamala Harris is leading Trump by just 0.2% in the top seven battleground states, according to the RealClearPolling average. Enten, on “CNN News Central,” noted that Harris’ narrow lead means Trump could win in November if his final vote tally exceeds present poll projections by just one point.
WATCH:
CNN Data Guru Says Trump Will Win If He 'Outperforms His Current Polls By Just A Single Point' pic.twitter.com/HwOwnMNeMU
— Daily Caller (@DailyCaller) September 6, 2024
“Look, most of the time there’s at least some stretch where one of the candidates is ahead by at least five points, at least three weeks in which one candidate led by at least five points, that happened in every single campaign from 1964 to 2020,” Enten told host John Berman. “How many days have we had this campaign where one candidate was ahead by at least five points nationally? Look at this zero, zero days, zero days. The fact is this race has been consistently tight in a way that we have never seen before.”
“Look at the Democrat versus Donald Trump and those seven closest battleground states. Look at the 2020 final margin and average across these seven states, it was Biden plus 0.9 points. You don‘t think that could get any closer? We can, in fact, get closer. Look right now, Kamala Harris up, but get this, by just 0.6 points on average, only about half a point, six-tenths of a point,” the data reporter added. “My goodness, gracious, that is how tight we are talking right now across these seven battleground states. It is a race, Mr. Berman, that is well within the margin of error when you look across these seven key battleground states that will determine this election.”
Democratic strategist James Carville in August warned his party not to be overconfident about Harris’ likelihood of winning, as Trump has historically outperformed his polling average. NBC News national political correspondent Steve Kornacki said on Tuesday that the vice president’s slim polling advantage over Trump may be insufficient to secure the electoral college as the former president outperformed polling expectations in both 2016 and 2020.
“Alright, so let’s just say the polls match up perfectly to what the results end up being. Kamala Harris would win this election with 292 electoral votes to Donald Trump’s 246. But let’s just say we move the current polls and let’s say the result differs … by a single percentage point and Donald Trump is the beneficiary of it,” Enten said. “Look at this, if Trump outperforms his current polls by just a single point, you take that Kamala Harris win and look at this.”
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“Donald Trump gets 287 electoral votes because the bottom line is Pennsylvania would flip up here and you would also get this flip out in Nevada over here. And that, my friend, is what we’re talking about,” he continued. “We’re talking about the closest campaign in a generation where a single point could make all the difference in the world. John, this is a truly exciting race right now, where any slight movement can make all the difference in the world.”
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Five Reasons to Believe Trump’s Would-Be Assassins Are Deep State Assets
by JD Rucker
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Hurricane Forecasts Poised to Be Spectacularly Overstated, Raising Doubt About Climate Science
by Just The News
Penn State celebrity climate scientist Michael Mann announced in April that his research group’s 2024 North Atlantic season forecast was expecting an “unprecedented” 33 named storms, with a range between 27 and 39. That prediction has turned out to be a dud. With Hurricane Francine hitting the coasts Thursday, the…
Another Attack on President Trump Prompted Prepper Surge
by Sponsored Post
The 2nd attempted assassination of Donald Trump has prompted renewed concerns over the nation’s future. Website traffic on Sunday was higher than it’s been in our history. One does not have to be a Republican to realize that chaos may be in store for us soon. At Prepper All-Naturals, we’re…
DJT’s Attempted Assassin Made 19 Donations to Democrats
by Independent Sentinel
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Dem Rep. Crockett: MAGA Is a Domestic Threat, Trump Is Stoking Them
by Breitbart
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Sunlight and Clouds, Not CO2, Drive Earth’s Climate, New Study Finds
by The Epoch Times
This year’s summer months were characterized by cold outdoor pools that eagerly welcomed guests, concrete that scorched the soles of bare feet, and popsicles that melted in the relentless, blazing heat. In August, the European Commission’s Copernicus report found that the global average temperature had reached record highs in the…
The Man That Just Tried to Assassinate Donald Trump Has Very Alarming Links to Ukraine
by Michael Snyder
(End of the American Dream)—We are starting to learn more about Ryan Routh’s background, and what we have learned may help to explain why he attempted to shoot Donald Trump. It turns out that Routh is a rabid pro-Ukraine activist. In 2022, he actually traveled to Ukraine to fight in the…
Bill Gates Forecasts Another Global Pandemic ‘Likely’ Within Next 25 Years in Ominous Health Warning
by End Times Headlines
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US Foreign Policy Should Defy China, Recognize Taiwan as a Country
by The Gateway Pundit
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Florida Will Conduct Investigation Into Trump Assassination Attempt: DeSantis
by Jack Phillips
Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis on Sunday announced the state will launch its own investigation into the apparent assassination attempt targeting former President Donald Trump earlier in the day. The FBI has said in a statement it is investigating the matter as an assassination attempt, while law enforcement officials said on…
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by The Gateway Pundit
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